"Whatever happens to you has been waiting to happen to you from all eternity."
In January 1915, the ship Endurance was trapped in the pack ice of the Weddell Sea. Sir Ernest Shackleton and his crew were thousands of miles from civilization. Their goal was to be the first to cross the Antarctic continent on foot.
For months, they waited for the ice to release them. It didn't. Instead, the pressure of the ice began to crush the hull. On October 27, Shackleton gave the order to abandon ship. He watched as the ice splintered the heavy timbers of the Endurance, sinking their supplies, their shelter, and their dreams of glory.
The mission was objectively a failure. A lesser leader would have raged against the unfairness of the weather. They would have wasted precious calories mourning the ship. Shackleton didn't waste a single second on "what if." He calmly gathered his men on the ice floe and said, "Ship and stores have gone. So now we'll go home."
In that instant, he pivoted. He stopped being an explorer seeking fame and became a survivor seeking rescue. He accepted that the crushing of the ship was not an accident. It was a physical inevitability caused by the temperature and the currents. It had been "waiting to happen."
Because Shackleton didn't fight the reality, he had the energy to master it. He led 27 men across the frozen ocean, then in open lifeboats through a hurricane, and finally across the mountains of South Georgia Island. Every single man survived.
Marcus Aurelius reminds us that the events of our lives aren't random surprises. They're the result of a chain of causes stretching back to the beginning of time. The web of cause and effect produced the ice, the ship, and the collision. To argue with the event is to argue with the entire history of the universe. It's futile.
Shackleton showed us the discipline of acceptance. He looked at the wreckage and didn't see a tragedy. He saw the new starting line.
Errors & Corrections
- Don't ask "Why me?" This is the cry of the narcissist. The universe isn't targeting you. The event happened because the conditions were right for it to happen. Asking "why me" wastes time that should be spent asking "what now."
- Don't argue with the past. Once a thing has happened, it's as unchangeable as stone. Regret is the attempt to change the unchangeable. It burns fuel but produces no motion.
- Don't mistake acceptance for passivity. Shackleton accepted the loss of the ship, but he didn't accept death. Acceptance of the situation is the prerequisite for effective action. You can't navigate a map if you refuse to look at where you actually are.
Applications to Modern Life
Work
You spend months on a project, and then the corporate strategy changes. Your project is cancelled. The common error is to be bitter about the "wasted time." The Stoic response is the Shackleton pivot. The cancellation was waiting to happen due to market forces you don't control. Pivot immediately. Update your resume. Archive the work samples. Apply the skills you learned to the next assignment. The project is gone, so now you go forward.
Leadership
A crisis hits your organization. Maybe it's a lawsuit or a supply chain failure. If you panic or look for someone to blame, you lose the trust of your team. They need you to look at the wreckage and say, "So now we fix it." A leader's calm acceptance of the new reality settles the nerves of everyone else.
Athleticism & Sport
The weather turns bad on race day. Or the referee makes a terrible call against you. These things were "waiting to happen" in the statistical probability of the sport. If you complain, you lose focus. If you accept that rain and bad refs are part of the game, you adjust your strategy and keep playing. The athlete who accepts the conditions fastest usually wins.
Politics
An election result goes against you. You feel that the country is doomed. This fear paralyzes you. Realize that this result was produced by millions of variables and choices leading up to this moment. It's reality. Deal with it. Organize, vote, or run for office yourself. Despair is a luxury you can't afford if you actually care about the outcome.
Social Media
You get hacked or your account is banned. You lose years of photos and followers. It feels like a part of you has died. It hasn't. It was just digital code on a server that you didn't own. It was always vulnerable. Start over or realize you didn't need it in the first place.
Interpersonal Relationships
A partner leaves you or a loved one dies. The grief is heavy. But the Stoic remembers that loss is woven into the fabric of attachment. This moment was waiting to happen from the moment you said "hello." Honor the past, but accept the new shape of your life. You can't love a mortal and expect immortality.
Maxims
- It was always going to happen.
- Don't fight the thread; weave it.
- Look at the wreckage and say, "What now?"
In-depth Concepts
Heimarmene (Fate/Destiny)
The Stoics believed in Heimarmene, an orderly chain of cause and effect that governs the universe. It isn't a magical superstition but a rational recognition that everything is connected. The ice crushed the ship because of physics. To wish it hadn't is to wish for physics to be broken.
Symploké (Interweaving)
Marcus often refers to the "interwoven" nature of events. Our lives are threads in a massive tapestry. We don't see the whole pattern, but the Weaver (Nature) does. Your thread was destined to cross the thread of this difficulty. Pulling against it only tangles the knot.